Cincinnati Bearcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/24/26

The number here isn’t just about rankings, it’s about scoring environment and where the game is being played. Texas Tech at home has been a completely different offensive team, averaging over 87 points per game in Lubbock, while Cincinnati’s road offense drops into the high 60’s. That is a huge gap because this matchup is less about defense and more about whether the Bearcats can keep pace for 40 minutes. Texas Tech’s biggest edge is offensive efficiency and shot quality. The Red Raiders score 82.1 points per game compared to Cincinnati’s 72.7 points per game, while also shooting significantly better from the field (46.7% vs 43.0%). Remember those figures for the next part of this analysis.

There’s also a situational angle working against the Bearcats. Cincinnati is coming off a headline upset at Kansas, where #2 Houston and #1 Arizona have already lost. Winning in Lawrence in dominant fashion is a feather in the cap for Cincinnati, even if Tech is ranked and a high-profile scalp in its own right. The point is, there can actually be a dip here for the Bearcats, and the question is whether or not that result against Kansas was an outlier. If it was and each team performs to the norm, Tech wins easy here. And the spread isn’t asking for dominance either, just separation. If the Red Raiders hit normal home scoring levels and Cincinnati returns to its normal road profile, this becomes an easy multiple-possession loss for the visitors.

Cincinnati vs Texas Tech prediction: Texas Tech -6.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -7.

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