Colorado Buffaloes vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/04/26

Colorado’s path to competitiveness on the road is narrow against Baylor’s home leverage. The Buffs are 1-4 SU outside of Boulder while the Bears are 8-4 SU in Waco. The most important angle isn’t raw offense/defense rankings, it’s how Baylor stresses defensive structure. Baylor’s best trait is forcing opponents to guard multiple actions in a single possession. At home, those sequences are more reliable because communication and timing become even more stressed for the visitor. That is extremely disconcerting for a Colorado team that allows opponents to hit 45% of their attempts (312th nationally) and gives up nearly 80 points per game.

Colorado can absolutely score, but how do they stop Baylor? And moreover, the Bears have shown ability to clamp down defensively. Baylor’s physicality challenges Colorado’s finesse and if CU has to work for points, it will innately throw them off their game. The best part here is that we don’t require a blowout for Baylor to cash, even if the recipe for the Bears if executed can result in a double-digit win for the home team. On average, Colorado loses by nearly 10 points and we are being asked to spot a fraction of that with the superior side. Lay the points and don’t look back.

Colorado vs Baylor prediction: Baylor -7 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to the number.

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