Colorado State Rams vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/16/26

This is no misprint, the Rams are a 5.5-point underdog despite winning and covering their last four outings against the Broncos overall. That makes Colorado State look like the easy play here, right? Well, that’s the point. Add in that CSU sits 11-6 overall while Boise sits a game over .500 and on a four-game losing streak, who wouldn’t want to back the Rams here? The oddsmakers are dangling bait and this is a quintessential example of that very idea.

If Boise State had any semblance of market credibility at all, they could easily be a double-digit favorite here. Their struggles overall and their toils against the Rams diminishes their stock. Thus, the Broncos are actually laying a shorter number than they probably should because if they were a double-digit favorite, they would get virtually no action otherwise. With that being said, Colorado State has gotten a lot of looks on the Money Line, as an outright winner. Who wouldn’t be tempted? Nearly two-to-one in a favorable matchup on paper against a team that lost to a D2 school back in November. We get it. But when something looks too good to be true, it almost certainly is. Boise State is favored here for a reason and by significant margins at that. If Colorado State was truly live, they wouldn’t be catching this many points. What is really an underlay on the Broncos makes the Rams today’s “sucker bet” of the day.

Colorado State vs Boise State prediction: Boise State -5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -6.

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