Colorado State Rams vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, Odds and Picks for Wednesday, 01/28/26

San Diego State arrives in Fort Collins as one of the Mountain West’s most consistent teams, boasting a 14-5 overall record and 8-1 in conference play behind a balanced mix of defense and efficient scoring. The Aztecs average around 81 points per game while holding opponents to about 71 ppg, ranking near the top of the league in defensive efficiency and limiting easy looks in the half court. SDSU also rebounds well and forces turnovers at key times, allowing it to convert defense into offense and build leads quickly. The Aztecs’ recent 82-71 win at UNLV showcased both halves of their game: disciplined execution in the half court and the ability to protect a lead late. San Diego State has the personnel and coaching continuity to control pace and minimize extended droughts, particularly at home, making it a tough cover for many Mountain West opponents.

Colorado State enters this game 12-8 overall and 3-6 in conference play, and while the Rams have struggled to string together wins, there are reasons to respect their profile in this matchup — especially in a spread context. Colorado State plays a deliberate offensive style that tends to keep possessions long and scoring runs constrained early, which can keep them in games even when the opponent is favored. The Rams have shown spurts of solid half-court defense and ball movement that frustrate teams not prepared to defend structure early, and their scoring balance has improved in recent weeks. Against a San Diego State squad that often controls the second half more than the first, Colorado State has value as an underdog capable of staying within range through the opening 20 minutes and into the latter stages of games.

Colorado State vs San Diego State prediction: Colorado State +8.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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