Cornell Big Red vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/29/25

This line is shaped by brand perception. Michigan State is a top-10 program, 11-1 on the season, and carries the aura of a national power. Cornell, by contrast, is a mid-major sitting around .500 — and the market treats matchups like this as lopsided by default. Add in the betting records: Cornell is 2-7 against the spread, while Michigan State sits at a more respectable 5-6-1 ATS, and the number balloons upward. Michigan State is going to draw a lot of love and support by optics alone and one pays a premium to back the Spartans here because of that.

Sure, the Spartans have elite pedigree, but they also manage games conservatively when ahead, leaning into defense and clock control rather than chasing margin. That style makes covering massive spreads like this one — more difficult. Cornell doesn’t need to threaten the upset; they simply need to remain organized, trade possessions, and avoid getting buried by one massive run. Given the market’s inflation of Sparty thanks to brand, ranking, and ATS narratives, Cornell hold substantial value as an underdog taking back what is certainly an inflated number.

Cornell vs Michigan State prediction: Cornell +26.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +26.

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