Drexel Dragons vs Stony Brook Seawolves Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/16/26

Before you settle in for Houston and Iowa State Monday night, feel free to swing by the small conference ranks where the Drexel Dragons face the Stony Brook Seawolves. Both teams have similar profiles. They both sit at 7-6 in the middle of the Colonial, and both are far better at home than on the road. Both rank outside the top 200 per KenPom, who has both offenses around 280 and both defenses around 170. Both teams play at a remarkably slow pace as well. In short, they are similar. They met in January, and I kid you not, the final score was 56-37, Drexel. Give me the Dragons +4 in the rematch.

How did Stony only manage 37 points in the first matchup? One reason is pace of play, to be sure. This game will be slow. The biggest issue, however, was abysmal shooting. The Seawolves shot only 20% from the floor, and they were even worse from 3, going 5 of 27. Is that repeatable? Indeed, Torvik has Drexel’s defense inside the top 50 for 2-pt percentage defense, 3-pt percentage defense, and 3-pt percentage rate allowed. Surely Stony Brook will see a few more shots fall at home, but the Seawolves are a predictably bad team inside the arc, and they live and die by the 3. It is very possible, and indeed predictable by the metrics, that the Seawolves would struggle again in this game. And yet we are catching points with Drexel? Sure, give me that, and let’s mark that down as our bet for Monday’s contest.

Drexel vs Stony Brook prediction: Drexel +4 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +3.5.

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