Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/09/26

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Monday’s Sun Belt Tournament final features the top-seeded Troy Trojans vs the #10 Georgia Southern Eagles. The Cinderella run for Georgia Southern has been especially fun considering the Sun Belt’s staggered bracket designed to protect the top teams. The Eagles began playing on Wednesday, and tonight will be their sixth consecutive gameday. It has been one heckuva run, but it is hard to imagine that bodies can hold up to that kind of demand. I will take Troy -7.

The Trojans began play yesterday in the semifinals. They did beat the Eagles in both regular-season meetings — by 5 and by 7 — but it is not like Troy dominated the conference schedule by any means. At 12-6 in conference play, they are one of the more mediocre regular-season champs out there. But it is hard for me to get past the physical toll this tournament has to be taking on Georgia Southern. This is a team whose identity is completely about playing fast. Legs are heavy and minds are not going to be sharp, and this looks like a recipe for mistakes. The methodical Trojans have to have the advantage. This number is bigger than I want, but I have to take the Trojans to cover.

Georgia Southern vs Troy prediction: Troy -7 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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