Grand Canyon Antelopes vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/07/26

Saturday’s Mountain West matchup features the Grand Canyon Antelopes (15-7, 8-3 MWC) visiting the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (10-12, 5-6 MWC) at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, with the total set at 149.5 points. Grand Canyon has built its success on defensive discipline and tempo control, averaging 74.8 points per game while holding opponents to just 67.7 PPG, one of the stronger defensive marks in the conference. The Antelopes shoot roughly 45% from the field and average 36.5 rebounds per game, often limiting opponents’ second chance opportunities and forcing half court possessions. Offensively, Jaden Henley leads the team with 17.1 PPG, while Nana Owusu-Anane anchors the interior and contributes on the glass. GCU enters off an 81-57 win over Air Force, a game that highlighted their ability to slow pace, defend efficiently, and keep scoring margins under control.

UNLV brings more offensive punch, averaging 78.7 ppg, but that production has been offset by defensive struggles, as the Rebels are allowing 78.8 points per game and have dropped four straight contests. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn remains the primary scoring option and is coming off recent 28-point performances, yet UNLV has struggled to sustain efficiency for a full 40 minutes, particularly against teams that defend the perimeter and limit transition opportunities. With Grand Canyon’s preference for controlled possessions and UNLV’s recent inconsistency, this matchup profiles as more methodical than explosive. Both teams have seen several games land under totals in this range, and Grand Canyon’s defensive pressure combined with UNLV’s uneven scoring stretches points toward a lower-scoring outcome. If the Antelopes dictate tempo and force UNLV into half-court sets, the pace should stay manageable.

Grand Canyon vs UNLV prediction: Under 149.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 148.

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