Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/07/26

Sitting tied for last place in the Big 12, Kansas State is looking to build some momentum as they prepare to face the TCU Horned Frogs on Saturday afternoon. The Wildcats have dropped eight of their last nine games, while TCU hasn’t fared much better, losing six of their last nine matchups. During that stretch, Kansas State is averaging 71.9 points per game while allowing 83.9. For TCU, they’re averaging 76.3 points per game while allowing 81.3.

Despite their recent struggles offensively, the Wildcats’ numbers may be somewhat misleading as they’ve recently faced strong defensive teams such as Kansas, West Virginia, and Iowa State. PJ Haggerty has been terrific for Kansas State this season, averaging 23 points and 5.4 rebounds per game. While TCU’s season-long defensive numbers look better on paper, their recent performances have shown vulnerabilities, particularly in defending the three-point line and allowing clean open looks. They just allowed Colorado to shoot 55.6% from the floor in their last matchup, and that’s something they can’t afford to do against Kansas State. Offensively, the Horned Frogs don’t possess the same scoring firepower as Kansas State, with David Punch leading the team with 14.3 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. Both defenses are vulnerable, and while Kansas State’s offense has struggled, I think they rebound in this matchup. This is a large spread for the Horned Frogs to cover, and I don’t trust them with a large spread like this, given their recent performances over the last few weeks. Look for Haggerty and the Wildcats to keep this game close on the road.  

Kansas State vs TCU prediction: Kansas State +9.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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