Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/17/26

After losing their first game of the season against Wisconsin, the Wolverines bounced back in a big way against Washington — shooting 46.4% from the floor while holding the Huskies to just 37.5% shooting. Michigan will look for a similar response when it faces the Oregon Ducks on Saturday afternoon. According to KenPom, Michigan ranks sixth in adjusted offensive efficiency, first in adjusted defensive efficiency and sixth in adjusted tempo — making it one of the most well-rounded teams in the country. 

Oregon, on the other hand, is ranked 92nd in adjusted offensive efficiency, 96th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 228th in adjusted tempo. The Ducks prefer to play at a slower pace, so they will need to find a way to keep Michigan out of transition and avoid falling behind early. It won’t be easy, as the Wolverines are averaging 46.1 rebounds per game compared to Oregon’s 41.5. Oregon does have Nate Bittle — who is averaging 16.3 points and 6.7 rebounds per game — along with 3 other players averaging double-figures. However, Michigan counters with Yaxel Lendeborg. He is averaging 14.6 points and 6.9 rebounds, and the Wolverines have 5 additional players averaging double-digits. Oregon is coming off a 90-55 loss to #8 Nebraska, and a similar result could be in store. Michigan’s depth and efficiency on both ends should be the difference, making the Wolverines my best bet of the day. 

Michigan vs Oregon prediction: Michigan -18.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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