New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/30/25

New Mexico enters this Mountain West matchup averaging about 82.0 points per game while holding opponents to roughly 68.6 PPG, showcasing strong offensive efficiency and improved defense early in the 2025‑26 season. The Lobos feature a balanced attack, with Jake Hall leading the team around 14.5 PPG, while New Mexico ranks near the top of the league in assists (15.3 per game) and rebounds (37.1 per game). UNM has shown depth in scoring and teamwork, often forcing opponents into tough possessions and using ball movement to create open looks. Boise State counters with a disciplined approach, averaging around 77.0 points per game while allowing about 70.4 PPG, emphasizing half court efficiency on both ends. The Broncos’ leading contributors have shown they can impact the glass and limit second chance points, though they haven’t consistently pushed tempo, particularly on the road.

History between these programs suggests a lower scoring contest in conference play. Last season’s matchups included a 72‑69 Boise State win in the Mountain West Tournament semifinals and an 86‑78 Bronco victory in Boise, both games finishing under or near similar totals. New Mexico’s ability to efficiently run its offense, combined with Boise State’s defensive discipline, points to a game hinging on half court execution and controlled possessions rather than nonstop pace. With both teams likely to emphasize defense, limit turnovers, and value each possession, this matchup projects as a tactical, slower paced affair.

New Mexico vs Boise State Prediction: Under 147.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 146.5

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