Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Stanford Cardinal Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/30/25

The Irish are quickly turning into one of the most popular underdogs on the board — and that alone should raise alarms. Popularity does not equal value. In fact it often points the other way. Stanford, very simply, should be getting more respect here. Add eight points to two defeats and they are undefeated. The Cardinal are a complete team and they play at an elite level at home. The Irish haven’t really had a lot of experience when the rubber has hit the road and they are not stepping into a place with a pulse when they head to Palo Alto. Stanford’s length in the frontcourt and perimeter spacing give them real matchup advantages against an Irish team that struggles to generate consistent offense when forced out of rhythm.

More importantly, the number itself signals intent. If Notre Dame were the live side, the line would be much closer to a pick’em — especially given how heavily the public is lining up behind the Irish. Instead, the books are willing to invite Notre Dame money. That’s usually a clue. In a game where market perception and team quality diverge, we’ll trust the side being priced correctly rather than the side being cheered for. Stanford minus the points is the sharper play.

Notre Dame vs Stanford prediction: Stanford Cardinal -5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -6.