Ohio State Buckeyes vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/05/26

This number assumes a level of separation that Ohio State hasn’t consistently created away from home, as the Buckeyes are 3-4 SU outside of Columbus. So they are by no means a lock here. In addition, Maryland is a battle-tested team that has played the 6th-toughest schedule in America according to KenPom. They may appear as the less attractive side at 8-13 SU while the Buckeyes are 14-7 SU overall, but context is key. Let’s list all of those that assailed the Terps: Purdue, Michigan State (away), Illinois (away), USC (away), UCLA (away), Oregon, Indiana, Virginia (away), Michigan, Iowa (away), Gonzaga, Alabama, and Georgetown. Seven of these losses were against ranked opponents. Only five of their losses were on their own floor. Is Ohio State better than most of the teams that we listed here? No, but because of optics, they are priced like they are a mismatch for Maryland.

There are many flaws that one can point out with the Terps, whether it be the lack of efficiency when they have the ball or subpar defense, but now the onus shifts to Ohio State to prove their upside that in a spot that has not been friendly to them all season long. The Bucks have been favored on the road three times already and only covered once. They even managed to lose outright at Pitt as a 5.5-point favorite. If Ohio State plays down to the level of their opposition, Maryland has a realistic path to staying inside the number and even threaten an upset. It would not be a “shocker” if the Terps pull it off. We’ll take the points in a game that UMD can win outright.

Ohio State vs Maryland prediction: Maryland Terrapins +7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +7.

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