Oklahoma Sooners vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/12/26

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The Oklahoma Sooners meet the Texas A&M Aggies in the second round of the SEC Men’s Basketball Tournament on Thursday, setting up a matchup between an Oklahoma team coming off a tournament win and a Texas A&M squad entering fresh after earning a bye. Oklahoma advanced after defeating the South Carolina Gamecocks, showcasing the offensive balance that has helped the Sooners stay competitive throughout the season. Oklahoma averages 74.8 points per game while shooting 45.3% from the field and 35.9% from three-point range, numbers that reflect a capable perimeter attack. Xzayvier Brown contributes to the Sooner attack with 15.6 points per game, while Nijel Pack remains a major scoring threat when his outside shot is falling. Oklahoma has also shown resilience in close games late in the year, including an 88-85 overtime win over the Texas Longhorns, proving the Sooners can execute offensively in high pressure situations.

Texas A&M enters the matchup with a more defensive-minded profile and the advantage of extra rest after its first round bye. The Aggies average 75.6 points per game while allowing 68.4, and they rely heavily on rebounding and physical defense to control tempo. Texas A&M ranks among the better rebounding teams in the conference, averaging 39.1 rebounds per game, which often leads to second-chance scoring opportunities. Forward Rashaun Agee has been a key contributor in the frontcourt with 14.7 points and 8.8 rebounds per game, providing interior scoring and defensive presence. Earlier this season, Texas A&M defeated Oklahoma 83-76, forcing 17 turnovers and using its defensive pressure to swing momentum late. However, tournament games often slow down and become guard driven, and Oklahoma’s backcourt has the shot making ability to keep pace if the Sooners take care of the basketball. If Oklahoma limits turnovers and finds success from beyond the arc, the Sooners have a strong chance to keep the game close deep into the second half.

Oklahoma vs Texas A&M prediction: Oklahoma Sooners +2.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to that number