Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/11/26

The Ole Miss Rebels face the Texas Longhorns in an SEC matchup that profiles as a higher scoring contest with the total set at 144.5. Ole Miss enters averaging 74.1 points per game, a number that aligns closely with Texas allowing 74.9 points per game defensively. The Rebels rely on balanced guard play to drive their offense, led by AJ Storr, who leads the team with 15.0 points per game, while forward Malik Dia contributes 5.8 rebounds per game to create second chance opportunities. When Ole Miss finds rhythm from the perimeter and pushes the pace, its offense can generate quick scoring runs, and the Rebels are 8-1 when scoring more than 74.9 points, a key benchmark when facing Texas’ defense.

Texas enters with an offense capable of matching that tempo while leaning on physical interior play and rebounding. The Longhorns average about 75 points per game and hold a +9.2 rebound margin, having outrebounded 20 of their first 23 opponents, which helps generate extra possessions and second chance scoring opportunities. In the teams’ earlier meeting this season, Texas earned a 79-68 victory, finishing on a 14-0 run behind 27 points from Matas Vokietaitis while shooting 53.9% from the field. That game demonstrated how both teams can produce offense in stretches, especially if the tempo increases late. With Ole Miss capable of scoring into the mid-70s and Texas generating additional possessions through rebounding, the ingredients are present for sustained scoring on both sides. If both teams approach their season averages offensively, this matchup has a strong path to clearing the mid-140s.

Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction: Over 145.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 146.5

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