Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/09/26

It is the Monday after the Super Bowl, so if you are just now turning your attention to college basketball, welcome aboard. We have a Monday matchup in the Big Ten, as the Oregon Ducks face the Indiana Hoosiers. Travel is not an issue here, as Oregon has been in the state of Indiana for several days now — having faced Purdue on Saturday. Oregon surprisingly hung in there with the Boilermakers, losing by only 4 points but nevertheless dropping its ninth straight game. Indiana is in the middle of the pack, looking to build on a home victory over USC over the weekend. This is a sneaky spot for the Ducks to cover. I think Indiana wins, but this might be too many points. Give me Oregon +11.5.

Oregon has been decimated by injuries. The Ducks did, however, just get their leading scorer back over the weekend in Nate Bittle. He put up 23 of his team’s 64 points and he did it against a tough Purdue team. When healthy, this Oregon team is not as bad as the record suggests. As for Indiana, it is a bit of a metrics darling. All the metrics love this team — top 50 in offensive and defensive efficiency, high in effective FG% and really all the things you look for in a good team. Yet the Hoosiers are 7-6 in conference play, and even their wins are usually close ones. Make no mistake, this is a solid squad that can score and is fun to watch, but its metrics seem to be outpacing real-life performance. The Hoosiers might not blow Oregon away. It is also noteworthy that both teams sit outside the top 200 in terms of pace, so a slower game that is in the upper 60s or lower 70s is very much in line — and that might not be enough to cover a double-digit spread. I’ll take the Ducks.

Oregon vs Indiana prediction: Oregon +11.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to +9.5.

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