San Jose State Spartans vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/10/26

The San Jose State Spartans (6-17, 1-11 Mountain West) travel to the Thomas & Mack Center to take on the UNLV Rebels (11-12, 6-6 MWC) in a matchup in which the Spartans will look to stay competitive as double-digit underdogs. San Jose State has struggled throughout conference play, averaging 69.6 points per game while shooting just 39.6% from the field, and the Spartans are 1-9 over their last 10 games, scoring only 63.4 ppg during that stretch. Offensively, Colby Garland has been the clear bright spot, averaging 18.4 points per game on 48.8% shooting, while Melvin Bell Jr. has added 11.7 ppg over the last 10 games. San Jose State ranks ninth in the Mountain West in offensive rebounds (8.9 per game), with Yaphet Moundi providing activity on the glass, but inefficiency and limited scoring depth have kept the Spartans from closing games.

UNLV enters with a more balanced profile, averaging 78.8 points per game and relying on perimeter scoring and home court consistency, posting a 7-4 record at the Thomas & Mack Center. The Rebels recently edged Grand Canyon 80-78, led by a 29-point performance from Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn, and they rank sixth in the MWC in rebounding at 32.6 rpg with Howard Fleming Jr. pulling down nearly 10 rebounds per game. However, UNLV’s defense has been leaky of late — allowing 82.7 points per game over the last 10 contests and opening the door for opponents to hang around. If San Jose State can capitalize on second-chance opportunities, slow the pace and avoid extended scoring droughts, they have a path to keeping this game closer than expected. With UNLV’s recent defensive inconsistency and San Jose State’s ability to grind through Mountain West games, the points carry value.

San Jose State vs UNLV prediction: San Jose State +12.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +11.5.

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