Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/17/26

No. 13 Texas Tech Red Raiders (19-6, 9-3 Big 12) head to Tempe to face the Arizona State Sun Devils (13-12, 4-8 Big 12) in a game where the underdog can stay within range. Texas Tech has been one of the conference’s most efficient teams, averaging approximately 82.0 points per game while allowing 72.4 PPG, and the Red Raiders stretch defenses with 11.5 made three pointers per game on 38.9% shooting from deep. They also rank fifth in the Big 12 with a 1.53 assist to turnover ratio, reflecting disciplined ball movement and decision making. Texas Tech is 4-2 on the road in conference play and is coming off a statement 78-75 overtime win over No. 1 Arizona, powered by JT Toppin’s 31 points and 13 rebounds, a performance that reinforced their offensive versatility and interior presence.

Arizona State enters at 13-12 overall and 4-8 in Big 12 play, but defensive inconsistency has been the primary obstacle to sustained success. The Sun Devils have dropped competitive games, including a recent 78-70 loss to Colorado, and have hovered around .500 at home with a 7-5 record in Tempe. While Texas Tech’s perimeter shooting and efficiency give them the statistical edge, Arizona State has shown the ability to compete when it controls tempo and limits second chance opportunities. If the Sun Devils can slow the pace, defend the arc effectively, and keep turnovers in check, they have a realistic path to staying within striking distance. With Texas Tech coming off an emotional win and Arizona State capable of physical half court play at home, the points offer value.

Texas Tech vs Arizona State Prediction: Arizona State +8.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +7.5

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