UNLV Rebels vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/03/26

It’s a Mountain West showdown as UNLV makes its way to Fresno, with both teams looking to climb the standings with just over a month left to play. UNLV struggled in its last outing against Nevada, allowing the Wolf Pack to shoot 58% from the floor, and the Rebels will need to tighten up defensively if they want to keep this one close. Fresno State had little trouble handling Air Force, as expected, shooting 46.7% from the floor in their recent win. 

On paper, these two teams are fairly even. UNLV holds a slight edge offensively, averaging 77.9 points per game compared to Fresno State’s 72.1, but the Rebels have had their issues on the defensive end, allowing 77.9 points per game. Fresno State has been more consistent defensively, holding opponents to just 70.3 points per game. Both teams have talented guard play. Dravyn Gibbs-Lawhorn has really improved in recent games for the Rebels, averaging 20.5 points per game over his last four, slightly higher than his seasonal average of 17.5. Jake Heidbreder leads the Bulldogs with 17.1 points per game this season, but he hasn’t been as electric from the floor like Gibbs-Lawhorn has been in recent games. This is going to be an exciting matchup to watch, and the last time these two teams faced off, UNLV walked away with an 84-72 victory where they shot 57.1% from the floor. The Bulldogs have a few things to tighten up heading into this game, but with stronger guard play, I think the Rebels will find a way to get it done and steal one on the road. 

UNLV vs Fresno State prediction: UNLV ML (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.