USC Trojans vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/26/25

The championship of the Maui Invitational features the USC Trojans vs the Arizona State Sun Devils. That is probably not the matchup we were expecting when the tournament began, but both teams have had strong showings in paradise. USC had two narrow victories, first over Boise State and then over Seton Hall. Arizona State first upended Texas by 1, then won a 100-94 shootout with Washington State. This is a big moment for both teams, as USC is trying to emerge as a tournament contender, while Arizona State is trying to find success in Bobby Hurley’s 10^th year (and with his back likely against the wall). At this point, I think USC is the better team though, and I am backing them to take this championship. Give me USC -4.5.

Arizona State, like many major conference programs, rebuilt the roster in the offseason. They took aim at some big name transfers, but missed on all of them. Instead, they grabbed up several small conference guys. Prior to Maui, they played closer with Gonzaga than pretty much anyone else, which gives some hope to this team, but ultimately, I am not sure they have enough firepower to compete, especially in a loaded Big 12. USC reloaded with some big transfers, including Chad Baker-Mazara (Auburn) and Rodney Rice (Maryland), a couple of guards who can really generate offense. In the early going, KenPom has USC in the top 40 of offensive efficiency, defensive efficiency, and tempo, and this might just be a sneaky good team to pay attention to. Give me the Trojans to take the ‘ship in Hawaii.

USC vs Arizona State Prediction: USC -4.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.