USC Trojans vs San Diego Toreros Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/09/25

USC enters this matchup averaging 89 points per game, powered by Chad Baker-Mazara’s 20.9 ppg and a supporting cast that includes interior scoring help from Ezra Ausar. While the Trojans have the talent to score in bunches, they have shown stretches of inconsistency — including a recent game in which they shot poorly both inside the arc and from deep. That volatility makes them less predictable than their season-long scoring average suggests. Their defensive profile also points toward a more controlled pace, as they have allowed just 78.2 ppg while doing a respectable job limiting opponents’ high-efficiency possessions. If USC settles into a slower, half-court flow — something they have done often when the perimeter shots aren’t dropping — their games tend to trend toward lower possession counts than their raw point totals indicate.

San Diego, meanwhile, has struggled to generate any reliable offensive production. The Toreros sit at 3-5 with no consistent double-digit scorer, as Juanse Gorosito and Toneari Lane hover around 10 to 11 ppg. Their biggest issue is efficiency: opponents are shooting over 50% on 2-point attempts and San Diego ranks near the bottom nationally in defensive rebounding and second-chance prevention. While that weakness could give USC additional scoring opportunities, it also sets up long, grinding possessions if the Trojans choose to play inside out. With the Toreros lacking firepower and USC prone to colder shooting spells, this matchup projects as slower, more physical, and potentially sloppy on the offensive end.

USC vs San Diego prediction: Under 160.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 159.

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