Virginia Cavaliers vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Odds and Picks for Wednesday, 12/03/25

Virginia enters this matchup averaging 87.6 points per game with efficient three point shooting (36.5% on nearly 29 attempts per night), but their identity remains rooted in tempo control. Even in games where the scoring output looks high, the Cavaliers lean heavily on half court execution, strong rebounding, and limiting opponents’ transition opportunities. Their ability to drag opponents into slow, deliberate possessions has long been their defensive backbone, and against a Texas team that thrives in rhythm, UVA’s clearest path is to dictate pace from the opening tip. If Virginia forces this into a structured, grinding style, the number of possessions naturally shrinks — a major factor when handicapping the total.

Texas brings a dangerous offense, averaging just over 90 points per game and coming off several explosive outings, including a 102-97 performance against NC State. They shoot the three well, run effectively when opportunities arise, and rebound with enough consistency to extend possessions. But despite their firepower, Texas is willing to operate in the half court when games tighten, and Virginia excels at making opponents uncomfortable in transition. With UVA’s pace likely to shape the flow and the fact that the Cavs haven’t faced a defense like Texas yet, my lean is on this game to go under.

Virginia vs Texas Prediction: Under 152.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 150.5

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