Wichita State Shockers vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/26/26

Who doesn’t love the Shockers here? They are 18-10 SU while the hosts are just 12-15 SU and these two teams met in January with Wichita State mopping Memphis by 15 points. The Tigers are on a four-game skid while the Shockers have won their last three in a row. And yet, Memphis, yes, Memphis is the favorite. That says it all.

This play is about reading the line and backing the number, not the teams. The fact that Wichita State is an underdog here appears ludicrous and they look too easy. Generally speaking this is almost certainly means that win or lose, the Tigers are the side to bet on here. There will be a plethora of angles as to why Wichita State as an underdog could be the “best bet of the day” according to many eyes of the market. But that is the set-up. If Wichita State were in position to cruise here, they would be the chalk, and a heavy one at that. Instead, they are somehow a road underdog. There is one caveat. Memphis plays at a higher level in the Music City, they are 10-4 SU in their own bar and that accounts for 83% of their win share this season. The Shockers will likely finish with 20 wins in the regular season and make a deep run in the AAC tournament, but tonight’s forecast is a loss for State. I am listening.

Wichita State vs Memphis prediction: Memphis -1 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.