Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/14/26

The Wisconsin Badgers are in the semifinals after upsetting Illinois in yesterday’s matchup, and they’ll need to find a way to get past this talented Michigan Wolverines team if they want to play in the championship match tomorrow. The Badgers shot 42.4% from the floor against Illinois, squeezing out a 91-88 win in overtime. The Badgers got to the charity stripe 30 times in that matchup, making 25 of those attempts, which ultimately helped Wisconsin seal the deal. Offensively, the Wolverines have the edge, averaging 87.9 points per game compared to the Badgers 83.5. Defensively, Michigan holds the significant edge as they’re giving up 69 points per game compared to the Badgers 76.2 during the regular season. However, Wisconsin’s offense has been on fire as of late, averaging 88.2 points per game over their last five matchups. 

The Badgers will need to find a way to score inside as they go up against two physical big men in Yaxel Lendeborg and Morez Johnson Jr. Wisconsin attempted 41 3-point attempts against Illinois, making just 10 of them (24.4%). The Wolverines do a great job at protecting the perimeter, holding opponents to 29.7% from deep this season. However, the last time these two teams faced, the Badgers upset then-No. 2 Michigan, walking away with a 91-88 victory. The Badgers will take plenty of shots from deep, but they need Nolan Winter to dominate inside and be able to outrebound Lendebord and Johnson Jr. in this matchup to prevent the Wolverines from getting second-chance looks. The Badgers are very talented and should be able to do enough offensively to keep this game within single digits. 

Wisconsin vs Michigan prediction: Wisconsin +12 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.