Both teams are coming off disappointing losses, but only Kentucky ranks #13 in the country and returns home this week. This feels like a perfect spot for both offenses to get back on track. Florida should be able to surprise some doubters and find success moving the ball, but if that happens, it also means Kentucky will have opportunities to answer. The Wildcats possess the deeper offense and more reliable playmakers, and with their College Football Playoff hopes still alive, they'll be motivated to make a statement. I expect both teams to contribute on the scoreboard, but Kentucky ultimately creates separation as the game moves into the fourth quarter.
Kentucky has scored 31 points or more in six of its nine games and has topped 34 points in three of its last four home contests. While both teams managed seven points or fewer in their most recent outings, the circumstances were much different. Kentucky was blown out on the road by #9 Tennessee, while Florida suffered a similar fate against an Oklahoma team that the Wildcats beat by more than a touchdown in Norman. The Gators are capable of a better offensive showing this weekend, but Kentucky remains the more disciplined team and possesses more answers on both sides of the ball.
Kentucky sits 7-2, with both losses coming against teams ranked inside the nation's top eight. While past performance guarantees nothing, Florida has struggled to finish games against quality SEC opponents, losing four of its last five conference matchups. The Gators should be more competitive than they were a week ago, but Kentucky's deeper offense and home-field advantage should be enough to create separation in the second half. Laying the points with the Wildcats is the right side.
Kentucky vs Florida best bet: Kentucky Wildcats -3.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -4.5 (-110).
