Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 11/22/25

The Arkansas Razorbacks enter a tough road matchup against the Texas Longhorns on an eight-game losing streak, though four of the last five losses have been decided by three points or less. While Texas certainly has more to play for, the Longhorns are coming off arguably their worst performance of the season in a 35-10 loss against Georgia. Stylistically, this matchup bodes well proven by last week’s one-point loss on the road against LSU. Just like the Tigers, Texas boasts a slow-paced, inconsistent offense with an elite defensive unit. While the Arkansas defense has been horrendous, the offense is capable of keeping them in games even against top defenses.

Arkansas ranks top-10 in points per quality drive and offensive success rate while coming in at 11th in net points per drive on offense. On the contrary, Texas ranks 91st in offensive success rate and 61st in net points per drive. You could make an argument the Razorbacks have the better quarterback in this equation with Taylen Green, and Texas struggled last time out against a dual-threat QB as Gunnar Stockten tallied 5 total TDs and 29 yards on the ground in last week’s matchup. It’s an awkward point spread, but I’ll back Arkansas to continue making these conference matchups close and cover the spread on the road.

Arkansas vs Texas prediction: Arkansas +9.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.