Army Black Knights vs Tulane Green Wave Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 10/18/25

Army catching nearly double digits looks tempting on the surface, which is exactly why this number is drawing so much public appeal. Casual bettors see a disciplined, physical Black Knights team that routed Tulane in last year’s AAC Championship and wonder how they can be such big underdogs. But that prior meeting has no bearing here — this year’s matchup is a different story entirely.

Tulane comes in off a narrow 26–19 escape against East Carolina, a game that’s creating the illusion they’re vulnerable. In reality, that was a flat spot for the Green Wave, and they still found a way to win despite not playing their best football. Take a closer look at their résumé: wins over Northwestern — fresh off knocking off Penn State — and Duke, who is favored this week against an undefeated, top-10 Georgia Tech squad. Their lone loss came to an Ole Miss team ranked inside the national top five.

Let’s go back to last year, Tulane saw its CFP hopes dashed and came into the game in body and not spirit. The Black Knights also had the advantage of playing in West Point. But this is a different spot. Army’s run-heavy attack simply doesn’t have the explosiveness or depth to keep pace for four quarters. This spread isn’t a mistake — it’s a reflection of where these programs stand right now.

The market is leaning too heavily on last year’s narrative, combined with last week’s near miss, but this year’s Tulane team is built to handle business at home. Don’t be swayed by the “too easy” underdog. Lay the points with the Green Wave.

Army vs. Tulane prediction: Tulane -9.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -10.