Auburn Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 10/25/25

Following their 4th consecutive loss, the Auburn Tigers hit the road to play the Arkansas Razorbacks, who are losers of 5 straight. Last time out, the Tigers held a 17-10 lead in the 4th quarter at home against Missouri, but they surrendered a game-tying touchdown with about 5 minutes left and eventually went on to lose in overtime. Despite the loss, Auburn outgained Missouri and won the turnover battle, though they were just 6/16 on third down. Meanwhile, Arkansas suffered its 2nd consecutive 3-point loss to a top 10 team, surrendering 40+ points for the 3rd time in 5 games. 

By the numbers, Arkansas has a very poor defense. But are the Hogs really that bad on that side of the ball, or does it have something to do with the quality of opponent they’ve played over the last 6 weeks? Probably a mixture of the two, but Arkansas has gone up against Ole Miss, Memphis, Notre Dame, Tennessee and Texas A&M one after the other. All 5 of those teams are in the top 25 in PPA per play since Week 4. 

Unlike those teams, Auburn is not good offensively. In fact, the Tigers have been pretty awful offensively this season, as they enter this game outside the top 110 in multiple advanced metrics on that side of the ball. Their biggest issues are penalties and QB Jackson Arnold’s inefficiency on a per pass basis, which would be problematic for them if they were to face an early deficit on the road against a very good Arkansas offense that has yet to show signs of quit under interim head coach Bobby Petrino despite a 2-5 overall record. 

On a per play basis, the Razorbacks have been extremely efficient with the ball in their hands thanks to QB Taylen Green, but turnovers have been their Achilles heel thus far. Those self-inflicted mistakes are a concern against a strong Auburn defense. However, I have zero faith in Auburn’s offense to actually capitalize on Arkansas’ turnovers. In fact, I have zero faith in this Auburn team overall at this current moment in time. Eventually, the mental and emotional drain of losing close game after close game weighs on players, not to mention the swirling rumors regarding the uncertainty of head coach Hugh Freeze’s future with the program and the unending criticism of Arnold under center. Take the Razorbacks in this one. 

Auburn vs Arkansas prediction: Arkansas Razorbacks +1.5 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to -1. 

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