Auburn Tigers

Auburn Tigers vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 08/29/25

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Auburn vs Baylor Pickswise Expert Predictions

Auburn Tigers
Point Spread Pick
Auburn -2.5(-110)

The Auburn Tigers out of the SEC will travel to Waco, Texas this Friday to open the college football season when they take on the Baylor Bears. Auburn struggled last season, finishing with a record of 5-7 after only winning two of their first seven games. Junior quarterback Jackson Arnold, who struggled last season under center in Oklahoma, transferred in and will be looking to get a fresh start for the Tigers. Baylor also got off to a slow start last season, but they hit the gas halfway through the year. The Bears won their last six games to finish with an impressive 8-4 record in what was a competitive Big 12 Conference. Senior quarterback Sawyer Robertson will lead the Baylor offense again this season. He finished last season throwing for 3071 yards, 28 touchdowns, and only 8 interceptions. Robertson fronts an explosive Baylor offense that averaged 34.4 points per game last season.

Arnold’s struggles at Oklahoma last season were well documented. He struggled with turnovers early on in the season before he was eventually replaced. Arnold eventually got his starting position back, but even when he did he still struggled creating big plays and staying efficient. On paper, Baylor has the advantage at the quarterback position in this matchup. Fortunately for Auburn, the offense has 11 players, and Auburn may out talent Baylor in all other areas. The main concern for Baylor heading into this game should be Auburn’s offensive line. Baylor’s defensive front is smaller than what the big men on Auburn are used to, and the Tigers’ offense should be able to lean into their strength and running game to set the tone in this game. If Baylor decides to sell out on the run, Auburn has a talented set of receivers, including 6’3” sophomore Cam Coleman. If Arnold can prove to be accurate, he has receivers like Coleman who have the ability to win their matchups on most plays. This may not be a pretty win, but I think the Tigers have enough talent to go into Waco and walk out with a victory. 

Auburn vs Baylor prediction: Auburn -2.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Baylor Bears
Auburn Tigers
Game Totals Pick
Under 57.5(-110)

The Baylor Bears will welcome in an SEC opponent, the Auburn Tigers, into their stadium in Week 1 with a chance at a big opening week victory. Baylor finished their 2024 campaign with an 8-4 record after winning their final six games of the season. Baylor succeeded with their explosive offense that averaged 34.4 points per game behind quarterback Sawyer Robertson. The Bears’ offense will have their hands full in Week 1 against a Tiger’s defense that ranked 21st in total defense in 2024 under defensive coordinator DJ Durkin.

This year’s Tigers’ starting defense is all returning players from the previous season. Auburn’s defense is quicker than what the Bears are used to in the Big 12, and they should be able to limit big plays throughout this game. Despite Auburn’s success on defense, they finished the 2024 season with a 5-7 record due to inconsistent offense and some bad luck sprinkled in. This season, Auburn brought in Oklahoma transfer Jackson Arnold at quarterback to run the offense. Arnold struggled last season with turnovers and generating big plays for Oklahoma. He was eventually replaced in Week 4 before eventually getting his starting position back. With a question mark for what the quarterback play will look like this season for Auburn, I expect Auburn to open their season with a heavy dose of running plays. It could be argued that Auburn’s biggest talent advantage in this game is their offensive line against Baylor’s defensive front seven. Auburn’s offensive line is bigger than what Baylor is used to, and the Tigers should be able to lean on their running game, especially early when trying to get Arnold comfortable. I don’t expect this game to be pretty, especially when considering it’s game one of the season. I’ll side with this game staying under the total.

Auburn vs Baylor prediction: Under 57.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Baylor Bears
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Ben Dezell

NBA and college football handicapper for Pickswise.
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