Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Prediction, Odds and Independence Bowl Picks for Today, 12/30/25

At first glance, this number feels justified. Louisiana Tech has the better record, has been far kinder to bettors, and enters this matchup riding a bit of momentum. Coastal Carolina, meanwhile, looks like a team in free fall — 3 straight losses, the last 2 coming by blowout margins win which the Chanticleers surrendered more than 50 points in each. On paper, it’s easy to understand why the Bulldogs are laying this kind of tag. But dig a layer deeper, and the confidence behind Louisiana Tech quickly erodes. The Bulldogs are being asked to do something they have repeatedly failed to do this season: handle the role of favorite. This is a team that has lost 3 of its last 4 games outright when laying points, beginning with a flat performance against Kennesaw State that exposed its limitations. Louisiana Tech’s recent success has come almost exclusively as an underdog, where expectations are lower and pressure is minimal. Asking the Bulldogs to suddenly flip that script and win by margin is a dangerous proposition.

Yes, the Bulldogs have won 2 straight games — and yes, they did so as slight underdogs. But that’s exactly the issue — those results have inflated their market perception without changing the underlying profile of the team. Louisiana Tech remains volatile, inconsistent and unreliable when forced to dictate play. That’s the definition of a false favorite. Coastal Carolina, on the other hand, enters this game with nothing to lose. The Chants’ recent results have completely removed them from the betting radar, which is precisely why the number has ballooned to this range. This game doesn’t require Coastal to be the better team –only competitive. With Louisiana Tech’s history of failing to capitalize as the chalk, 9 points is simply too much to give in a matchup filled with volatility and uncertainty.

Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana Tech prediction: Coastal Carolina +9 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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