Georgia Bulldogs vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 11/08/25

This one is rooted almost entirely in market perception. Mississippi State is the best covering team in the country at 8-1 ATS. Last week in Fayetteville, they were dead to rights. Arkansas — 3-6 on the year and laying 4.5 — led by two touchdowns in the fourth quarter. Yet somehow, inexplicably, Mississippi State mounted a late rally, not only covering but winning outright. That comeback result bleeds into this week and makes the Starkville Bulldogs look appealing again. And the market knows it — you’re still getting them at a touchdown plus the hook. That’s the trap.

As for Georgia, many called last week against Florida a “bad beat” after Gunner Stockton kneeled inside the one-yard line to end the game, costing spread bettors a likely cover. Whether you label it a bad beat or not, the fact remains it does not make Georgia look like an obvious play here, especially laying points on the road against a Mississippi State team that has been printing tickets all season.

But if there were a time and place to jump on Georgia against this ATS darling, this is it. People will peddle the “look-ahead spot” narrative with Texas coming to Athens next week, but Kirby Smart doesn’t coach look-ahead teams. Georgia will be laser-focused. Mississippi State is one win from clinching a bowl berth for the first time in years — but this is where that run hits resistance.

Lay the points with the Dawgs.

Georgia vs. Mississippi State prediction:  Dawgs -8 (-110) available at number posted.