Georgia Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, Odds and Allstate Sugar Bowl Picks for Today, 01/01/26

The Ole Miss Rebels meet the Georgia Bulldogs in the Sugar Bowl in a rematch from a regular season matchup that saw the Bulldogs come away with an 8-point win in Athens. While the Ole Miss offense found a ton of success in the first meeting, being one of only three team to score more than 20 points against the Bulldogs in 2025, I expect a different outcome this time around. The Georgia defense has been on an absolute tear; the Bulldogs allowed just 7.25 points per game in their last four games and rank top-25 in EPA/rush, EPA/dropback and quality drive rate allowed. 

On the other side of the ball, the Rebels’ defense has had its moments, but also its fair share of struggles. Georgia remains one of the most well-rounded teams in the country, also holding top-25 marks in all three aforementioned categories on offense. Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss and company looked the part in round one against an inferior Tulane squad, but this is a different level. I’ll lean on the coaching of Kirby Smart and the playoff experience on this UGA roster in a rematch while the Rebels are without Lane Kiffin. I’ve got Georgia covering on Thursday.

Ole Miss vs Georgia prediction: Georgia -6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

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