Houston Cougars vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 11/29/25

As the Big 12 season comes to a close, we get a battle of two Texas schools as the Houston Cougars travel to Waco to face the Baylor Bears. The Cougars are 8-3 and sit in the upper half of the Big 12 standings, while the Bears need this win to get bowl eligible. Baylor is favored to win this game at home, but I am not sure we can trust Baylor to win, especially not with the putrid defense they trot out every week. I think the much smarter play in this game is the game total over 59.5. There is a threat of weather in this one, but even still, if a game involves Baylor, we might as well bet on points.

Baylor has one of the most potent passing attacks in the country, but it is paired with one of the most generous defenses in the country. Baylor can and will score, but they will also watch the other team score too. Both things happen quickly and frequently. The Houston defense is good, and they are a top 50 unit against the pass, but that probably won’t slow down Baylor much. Houston won a 17-14 game last week over pass-heavy TCU, and that might lead us to think they can do something similar to Baylor, but they also picked off TCU 3 times and caused a fumble. It is hard to bank on that many turnovers to suppress scoring. Look for Baylor to play desperate, which means they probably won’t punt all game, and will go for it in the deep red zone too. Both teams should be in the 30s in this one.

Houston vs Baylor Prediction: Over 59.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.