Kansas State Wildcats vs Kansas Jayhawks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 10/25/25

Both the Kansas Jayhawks and Kansas State Wildcats are coming off a bye week entering what’s shaping up to be an exciting “Sunflower Showdown” matchup. The Wildcats have dominated this matchup in recent history, rattling off 16 consecutive wins in the all-time series, but the hosting Jayhawks enter this year’s matchup as favorites. While the narrative of the outcome is fun to examine, I’ll be looking towards the total in this matchup due to a few key statistics that should impact this game. For starters, the Kansas defense has been abysmal in terms of stalling drives or forcing turnovers; the Jayhawks rank 125th in FBS in red zone defense and 70th in points per quality drive. Kansas State on the other hand has been excellent at limiting turnovers and finishing drives, ranking top-15 in turnover margin and 16th in red zone offense with a 95.2% success rate.

On the other side of things, this Jayhawks’ passing game is legit and faces a K-State defense that ranks 88th in FBS in passing yards allowed. Kansas ranks 16th in EPA/dropback and is averaging over 220 rushing yards per game when playing at home this season. Not to forget, the Jayhawks will be incredibly motivated for this matchup in front of a rowdy crowd; I expect the offense to pull out all the stops. I’ll take the over in the Sunflower Showdown.

Kansas State vs Kansas prediction: Over 56.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.