Kansas State Wildcats vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/15/25

This number borders on absurd — not because Kansas State isn’t good, but because it’s a clear reflection of just how far the market has pushed Oklahoma State into irrelevance. Anytime you see a line this inflated between 2 conference opponents, it’s worth asking: should this favorite really be laying this kind of lumber on the road? Probably not.

Kansas State is priced like a steamroller here because of the Pokes’ infamy. The Cats nevertheless have posted 2 blowout wins in their last 3 games and have covered consistently at home and away. The Wildcats stumbled 2 weeks ago at Texas Tech, which is nothing to scoff at, but before that, they routed Kansas by double digits, beat TCU by 13, and handled UCF by 14. They even nearly took down Baylor in Waco. Those results keep their stock high.

Oklahoma State, meanwhile, is the exact opposite story. The Cowboys haven’t covered a game since August. They’ve looked lost, lifeless, and generally stuck in neutral — a team with no head coach or FBS wins to show for its effort and no momentum to lean on. But those are the kinds of teams that create hidden value late in the year. The Cowboys are the quintessential free-rolling underdog: beaten, forgotten, and catching a massively inflated tag because they “look terrible.” We don’t need Oklahoma State to turn into a world-beater overnight — we just need them to show some fight at home against a Kansas State team that’s being priced as though it can do no wrong. Oklahoma State is ugly, but that’s exactly why they’re worth playing. The points are inflated, the market is lopsided, and the setup is pure value.