Kent State Golden Flashes vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 09/20/25

Set at 1.5 games, the Kent State Golden Flashes had the lowest win total among FBS schools entering the 2025 season. While they are already halfway to the over, I don’t expect much “flash” from the Flashes’ offense in this matchup. Kent State leans on the run game and has a dual-threat QB under center who is not afraid to use his legs. I expect Kent State to continue leaning on the ground game in this one despite ranking 129th in EPA/rush offensively. However you spin it, Kent State will have difficulty moving the ball against this Seminoles defense.

While the spread would suggest this will be a Florida State blowout, I am expecting a relatively low-scoring blow out based on the stylistic matchup. Florida State has run the ball 100 times in 2 games and holds a 76.5 rush play percentage (top-5 in FBS). Kent State surrenders over 175 rushing yards per game, and the Seminoles have no reason to get flashy or take any risks through the air in a game they should comfortably win without worry. Furthermore, Florida State ranks 97th and Kent State ranks 103rd in players per second. This calls for a slow-paced, run-first matchup so I’ll take the under.

Kent State vs Florida State prediction: Under 56.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

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