Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Odds and Picks for Wednesday, 12/31/25

Camping World StadiumABC
Michigan
9-3
Michigan
Wed Dec 31
Texas
9-3
Texas
Texas Longhorns
Google News

Michigan vs Texas Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
Michigan +7.5(-110)

Texas is being priced here as though it is should have been in the College Football Playoff — but that makes sense, the Wolverines are in a transition period from a coaching perspective. But a closer look suggests the Longhorns may be riding perception more than reality. Michigan enters this matchup as mentioned surrounded by noise: the coaching turmoil, the fallout from Sherron Moore’s firing, and the Ohio State loss. Texas meanwhile has gripes about not making the CFP.

But semantics inside, what has Texas truly done to justify laying this kind of number? Yes, they own top-10 wins over Oklahoma, Vanderbilt, and Texas A&M — but each comes with context. Oklahoma’s offense was compromised and their flaws obvious all season. John Mateer was also banged up in Red River. Texas A&M largely beat itself in Austin. And Vanderbilt? They nearly erased a 24-point deficit in the DKR. Meanwhile, Texas also needed overtime to escape both Mississippi State and Kentucky — two losing teams — lost to a four-win Florida side in Gainesville, and was dismantled by Georgia. That résumé hardly screams “trustworthy favorite laying more than a touchdown.” Michigan still plays elite defense, controls the trenches, and are a physical bunch. That profile travels — especially as an underdog. The Wolverines don’t need to win outright to  be in position here, they simply need to play their brand of football. With Texas likely overpriced and Michigan undervalued, the points here are a steal.

Michigan vs Texas prediction: Michigan +7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +7.

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Napier Montgomery

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.
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