Navy Midshipmen

Navy Midshipmen vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/08/25

Notre Dame StadiumNBC
Navy
7-1
Navy
Today
Notre Dame
6-2
Notre Dame
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
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Navy vs Notre Dame Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
Notre Dame Win -26.5(-110)

When you have a 7–1 Navy team that was flirting with a ranking and even creeping into AAC title and darkhorse CFP conversations, your first instinct is to grab the points. After all, seeing a 1-loss team catching nearly 4 touchdowns feels like a gift. That makes Navy look too easy here — and that’s exactly the point. This number wasn’t dropped by accident. Yes, Navy brings a solid résumé and a strong record, but it is facing one of the most public brands in college football: Notre Dame. And while the Midshipmen are 2-6 ATS and the Irish are only slightly better at 3-4-1 ATS, context matters. Last week Notre Dame didn’t exactly inspire confidence, either, needing the fourth quarter to pull away from a 1-win Boston College team in a 25-10 game. That result alone invites the market to grab Navy with both hands.

But this series history matters, and Notre Dame has owned this matchup. The Irish are the more physical team, the deeper roster, and the one far more capable of landing long scoring drives and eventually breaking the will of an opponent over 4 quarters. Navy may fight early, but over time this turns into a grind-down, wear-you-out game — and Notre Dame is built for that. Navy looks tempting. That’s the trap. Notre Dame handles business and sends the Midshipmen home humbled. I’m laying the points with the Irish.

Navy vs Notre Dame prediction: Notre Dame -26.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -27.

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Napier Montgomery
Game Totals Pick
Over 56.5(-110)

Notre Dame certainly has the firepower to put points on the board, and while Navy prefers a slower, methodical approach offensively, this is a rivalry game — and rivalry games tend to produce surprises. Yes, the Irish are a heavy favorite and the market is already leaning toward Navy at +26.5, but before we go further, let’s ask the question: is it inconceivable for Notre Dame to win this by four touchdowns or more? Absolutely not. Will Navy score? Odds are yes. That starts to point us toward the Over automatically. Let’s also not ignore the numbers. Navy averages 35 points per game. Even if Notre Dame’s defense — improved as the season has progressed — holds them to, say, 21 points, if the Irish cover the spread, they’ll likely need to push close to 50. We trust that they will and that gets us well past this total.

Navy has given up 31 or more points in 4 straight games. North Texas hung 31 last week. That’s not exactly vintage Navy defense. Meanwhile, Notre Dame puts up 38 points per game and boasts one of the more punishing rushing attacks in the country. Against this Navy defense, there is every expectation they’ll move the ball consistently and finish drives. Even if the Irish run away with it, Navy will play with pride and should find the end zone a couple of times. If it’s competitive, we score. If Notre Dame rolls, we score bigger. Either way, there are multiple paths to this number clearing.

Navy vs Notre Dame prediction: Over 56.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 57.

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Napier Montgomery
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Napier Montgomery

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.
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