Texas Longhorns vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/18/25

Saturday night’s SEC action features the Texas Longhorns vs the Kentucky Wildcats in Lexington. The Longhorns are 4-2 after a win last week over Oklahoma, and with quite a conference gauntlet remaining, they cannot afford any trap game losses like this one. The Wildcats are likely headed for last place in the SEC, already at 0-3 and unlikely to be favored in any of the remaining league games. The bottom line here is that Kentucky is just not very good, and Texas should be able to control this game comfortably. Give me Texas -12.5.

I get it if you are an Arch Manning hater and are picking against Texas because of it. But in this spot, we need to take seriously that Kentucky ranks 111^th in passing yards allowed, and there just shouldn’t ever be an SEC defense down that low. If Manning is ever going to gash a conference defense, this is the spot. If Kentucky is going to have any success, the Wildcats need to run the ball and shorten the game, because they sure as heck can’t throw the ball effectively. But again, the issue here is a matchup problem, as the Longhorns have the 4th-best rushing defense in the country. This is just a bad matchup for the Cats; give me Texas to win by 2 scores.

Texas vs Kentucky Prediction: Texas Longhorns -12.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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