UCF Knights vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/15/25

Sixth-ranked Texas Tech will continue its quest to the College Football Playoff this Saturday when it welcome in its Big 12 opponent, the UCF Knights. Texas Tech has a record of 9-1 this season and 6-1 in the Big 12, and the Red Raiders have won their last 3 games – including a 29-7 win at home last week against BYU. The spirits were high in Lubbock, Texas last weekend. College Gameday caused a lot of excitement on campus, and it paid off with a convincing win against previously unbeaten BYU. Texas Tech’s defense was dominant, holding a high-scoring offense scoreless for the first 3 quarters while limiting BYU to only 255 total yards of offense.

UCF will be the next team to challenge the Red Raider defense in Lubbock. The Knights have a record of 4-5 this season and a conference record of 1-5 in the Big 12. The Knights have lost 4 of their last 5 games, and their last loss came at the hand of Houston 30-27. Junior quarterback Tayven Jackson was held to 136 yards passing and 1 interception. The UCF defense kept them in the game, forcing 4 turnovers, but overall the offense didn’t do enough to pick up the win. 

The question for this game is whether or not Texas Tech can continue its dominant play, and if the Red Raiders will come into this game with the same intensity they did last week. Texas Tech is for real and you should see them later this year in the CFP. The Red Raiders haven’t just won games, but they have dominated in their victories with an average winning margin of 33 points per game. To show just how well rounded Texas Tech has been, the Red Raiders rank top-5 in points scored on offense, scoring defense, and takeaways per game. The only other team to rank that high in all 3 categories was the 2008 national-champion Florida Gators. This game will be the final home game of the season for the Red Raiders before they finish their season on the road. That means it will be the last time for a number of seniors on this roster to play in front of their home crowd. I expect this to inspire Texas Tech to finish strong on their home field against a mediocre UCF team.

UCF vs Texas Tech prediction: Texas Tech Red Raiders -23.5 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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