Washington State Cougars vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/22/25

This play is a straight fade of Utah State, a team whose profile screams regression. The Aggies are an eye-popping 10–2 against the spread this season, and that kind of sustained profitability almost always invites correction — especially in bowl season, where lines tighten. The question bettors should be asking is simple: why is Washington State an underdog here at all? This is a Cougars team that went into Oxford and pushed Ole Miss to the brink, had a real shot to upset Virginia in Charlottesville, and had James Madison on the ropes in Harrisonburg. Those are CFP-level programs or teams that played for Power Five conference titles with a chance to get into the playoff. Utah State does not fill that bill.

Utah State’s favoritism here is driven almost entirely by market memory. They’ve been a cash cow all season, so the assumption is they’ll keep printing money. That’s dangerous thinking in a bowl game, where past ATS success is priced in and often overvalued. If Washington State shows up with the same edge and intensity they displayed against elite competition, this matchup is theirs to lose. Utah State isn’t equipped to withstand that version of the Cougars – plain and simple. Wrong side favored.

Washington State Cougars vs Utah State Aggies Prediction: Washington State (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.