Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/04/25

The Wisconsin Badgers will try to take their shot against one of the best teams in the Big Ten when they travel to Ann Arbor to take on the Michigan Wolverines. Wisconsin is currently on a 2-game losing streak. The Badgers fell on the road 38-14 to Alabama, and then they failed to bounce back in their last game at home — losing to Maryland 27-10. Badgers’ quarterback Danny O’Neil struggled against Maryland, throwing for 120 yards and an interception. O’Neil has thrown 5 total interceptions in 4 games.

Michigan is on a 2-game winning streak. Its last two wins were a 63-3 blowout over Central Michigan and a close victory, 30-27 on the road against Nebraska. The Wolverines dominated on the ground against Nebraska, running for 286 yards and three touchdowns on 33 attempts. Their ballcarriers averaged a whopping 8.7 yards per carry. On the defensive side of the football, Michigan held Nebraska’s running game to 43 yards on 31 attempts. 

Wisconsin’s offense has struggled heavily to start the season, and the seat is burning-hot for head coach Luke Fickell. With Iowa, Ohio State, and Oregon on deck for the Badgers, being competitive in this game could be crucial for the Badgers’ head coach. Wisconsin has struggled in almost every facet of the game early this season. Its offense hasn’t been able to move the ball and has committed a high number of turnovers, while the offensive line is not generating holes and is not winning their battles up front. Elsewhere, Wisconsin’s punting has been poor, which puts its defense in bad positions.

What has worked for the Badgers is their run defense. The Badgers are currently the number one run defense in college football, only allowing 50 yards per carry this season. With arguably the top rushing team in the Big Ten as their opponent this week, I don’t project the Badgers to stay there for long. Michigan wasn’t only dominant against Nebraska on the ground; they have done it all season — averaging 6.7 yards per carry. Something has to give between the statistically-best run defense, and the Big Ten’s best rushing team. I’m going to side with Michigan to still create space with their big guys up front.

Wisconsin vs Michigan prediction: Michigan Wolverines -17 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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