2025 US Open golf predictions, odds and PGA Tour picks for Thursday, 06/12/25

At more than twice Rahm’s odds, Ludvig Aberg looks tailor-made for the ball-striking test Oakmont provides. The Swede showed enough in Canada last week to suggest he could claim a maiden Major title. The 25-year-old has been inconsistent at the Majors – missing the cut at the PGA Championship last month – but he’s also finished 2nd and 7th in 2 Masters appearances, and placed 12th at Pinehurst last year, where his tee-to-green game stood out.

After a 16th-place finish at the Memorial, Aberg started slowly at TPC Toronto, which was perhaps no surprise as he spent Monday practicing at Oakmont, but he caught fire over the weekend, carding rounds of 65 and 66 to finish tied 13th. He hasn’t been especially consistent this year, but that’s factored into his price. And it’s worth remembering that his lone 2025 win came at Torrey Pines South, another US Open venue, in the Genesis Invitational.

Barring injury, Aberg should be at Bethpage in September for the Ryder Cup and Austrian Sepp Straka should be there alongside him. Straka is in the form of his life, winning the American Express in January and triumphing again in Pennsylvania at last month’s Truist Championship. He missed the cut at the PGA Championship, but he rebounded superbly at the Memorial, where only Scheffler and Ben Griffin outscored him.

The Austrian hasn’t thrived at the US Open, but he’s been a runner-up at the British Open and finished 7th at the 2023 PGA Championship behind 2-time US Open winner Brooks Koepka. Straka ranks 4th in strokes-gained tee-to-green on the PGA Tour and is more than capable of claiming his first Major this week.

Shane Lowry is another who should be playing for Team Europe in the 2025 Ryder Cup and he ranks 2nd in strokes-gained tee-to-green on the PGA Tour – behind only Scheffler. He was superb through 3 rounds at Oakmont in 2016 before a final-round 76, combined with Johnson’s brilliance, saw him limp to a share of 2nd place. The Irishman posted 4 rounds in the 60s in Canada last week, striking his irons superbly, and he should contend again at a Major venue that suits his game. Lowry has been in phenomenal form all year and this could be the week he puts it all together.

Patience and experience could prove vital in this year’s US Open – and American veterans Harris English and Keegan Bradley possess both attributes in spades. English has relished tough US Open tests, finishing 4th at Winged Foot in 2020, 3rd at Torrey Pines in 2021 and 8th at Los Angeles Country Club in 2023. He was runner-up at the PGA Championship and placed 12th at the Memorial in his most recent outing.

Bradley seems motivated by the idea of being a playing captain at the Ryder Cup. The 2011 PGA champion sits between Lowry and Straka in the PGA Tour’s strokes-gained tee-to-green rankings and has been a model of consistency this season, with his only missed cut coming at the Masters. He followed that up with an 8th-place finish at the PGA Championship and 7th at the Memorial. He looks poised for a strong showing and could be worth keeping on side at more than 100-1.