Pebble Beach Pro-Am Golf Predictions, Odds and PGA Tour Picks for Thursday, 02/12/26

Several players will like their chances of success but the one to beat could be world #6 Russell Henley, who has started the year with a T19 result at the Sony Open in Hawaii and a tied-8th at The American Express. The 36-year-old has had 6 cracks at this tournament and he recorded his best effort last year when landing a top-5 finish — 4 shots behind winner McIlroy — while he was the leading amateur in the 2010 US Open at Pebble Beach when tied-16th.

Henley’s affinity for links golf has aided his cause at this coastal course, which can be heavily impacted by the weather, with his last 2 Open appearances producing a 5th-placed effort in 2024 and a tied-10th finish the following year. Being able to hit the small greens at Pebble Beach has proven to be essential to success and Henley’s approach play has been razor-sharp, as he ranks 18th in greens in regulation and 5th in strokes gained approach.