NBA Best Bets Today: November 11 Picks & Predictions
We have ten NBA games on Wednesday, headlined by an ESPN doubleheader. Cavaliers vs Knicks tips at 7:00 PM ET in a rematch of last spring's Eastern Conference finals, and Warriors vs Rockets follows at 9:30 PM ET with Steph Curry averaging 30.6 PPG. Seven teams are on the second night of a back-to-back.
My NBA game predictions are 17-9 this season. I've been through all ten games, and my three NBA best bets for Wednesday feature two underdogs and a player prop. As always, we have you covered with NBA Picks for every game, but for now, let's get to my top selections.
NBA Best Bet: Golden State Warriors +6.5 vs Houston Rockets (-113)
Odds available at Polymarket at the time of publishing.
The Warriors lead the league in threes made at 16.5 a game and in percentage at 40.3%. Steph Curry is averaging 30.6 PPG in under 29 minutes a night. They finally hit big on a first-round draft pick, with Yaxel Lendeborg averaging 21.4. Monday's win over New Orleans was by 51. The Dubs are rolling.
Houston's 5-1 home record and the second-best three-point defense in the association say it is tough to play at the Toyota Center. But that should matter less against the best shooting team in the league, and Golden State comes in red-hot.
All three H2H meetings last season were decided by four points or fewer, and the Dubs are 4-1 against the spread and 3-2 straight up as an underdog this year. I like the Warriors to keep it close, and who's to say they don't win outright? They've won eight straight, after all.
Read our full Warriors vs Rockets Predictions
NBA Best Bet: Washington Wizards +3.5 vs Indiana Pacers (-111)
Odds available at Novig at the time of publishing.
Indiana is favored by more than a field goal, and the oddsmakers are overlooking a Wizards team that lacks cohesion but has talent. The Pacers are 3-8 overall and 0-5 at home. As a favorite they are 2-3 straight up, with losses at home to Brooklyn and in Milwaukee, the Bucks' only win of the year. Tyrese Haliburton is still out.
Washington has lost four in a row, but those losses were to Oklahoma City and Detroit, last year's #1 seeds, and Atlanta twice. Against teams with losing records the Wizards are 4-2, which makes this an even more attractive spot.
On Monday, Anthony Davis returned with 44 points and 13 rebounds in Detroit. That same night, Indiana center Ivica Zubac grabbed just three rebounds in Dallas, and the Pacers have the second-worst rebounding rate in the league. The Wizards can't hang their hat on their record, but it is worth noting that opponents are shooting 31.3% from three against them, the lowest mark in the NBA. I believe the better team is getting points here. #ForTheDistrict
Read our full Wizards vs Pacers Predictions
NBA Best Bet: AJ Dybantsa (WAS) Over 16.5 Points in Wizards vs Pacers (-122)
Odds available at Polymarket at the time of publishing.
The #1 pick in the draft is turning heads game by game. AJ Dybantsa missed the first week of the season but is averaging 16.7 points in his seven games since. Five of them have cleared this number: 19, 17, 21, 19 and 21. Both misses came against Atlanta. His minutes have climbed from 27 in his debut to 37 on Monday in Detroit, where he finished with 21 points and eight rebounds. Washington lost by 11, and ESPN posted his fake Euro step. His reply: "don't matter. need more dubs."
Indiana has had no answer for the other team's best scorer. Cooper Flagg put up 43 on the Pacers on Monday, Nickeil Alexander-Walker had 34 against them last week, and Giannis Antetokounmpo went for 31 and 18 rebounds before that. Dybantsa has played at least 31 minutes in five straight. Give him those minutes against this defense and 17 is well within reach. Sprinkle on 25+.
