NBA Best Bets Today: November 14 Picks & Predictions
All five games on Saturday's NBA slate feature one team that played on Friday night against one that had the night off. Mavericks vs Cavaliers tips at 7:30 pm ET with Cleveland on the back end, and Pistons vs Heat follows at 8:00 pm ET on NBA TV with Miami in the same spot.
My NBA game predictions are 18-12 this season. I have combed through the full slate, and my three NBA best bets for Saturday include a rested road team, a player prop and a home underdog. You can also find our expert NBA Picks for all five matchups tonight and every game throughout the 2026-27 season.
NBA Best Bet: Dallas Mavericks ML over Cleveland Cavaliers (-108)
Odds available at Polymarket at the time of publishing.
Cleveland is home for the first time in a week following a 1-2 road trip, and Saturday will be its second night of a back-to-back. The Cavs are 0-2 in that spot this season and have dropped five of their last seven. James Harden and Donovan Mitchell both played heavy minutes in Miami on Friday and in Wednesday's win in New York. Cleveland will likely be without star forward Evan Mobley, who is dealing with a left great toe sprain, for a second straight game.
Dallas has been off since Thursday's blowout loss in Minnesota and is 7-3 when Cooper Flagg and Kyrie Irving both play. Four of the Mavericks' seven wins have come as underdogs. This is a great spot for the Mavs to bounce back on the road.
Read our full Mavericks vs Cavaliers prediction
NBA Best Bet: Cooper Flagg (DAL) Over 24.5 points (+108)
Odds available at Underdog at the time of publishing.
Building on my Mavericks ML best bet, I'm looking to back 19-year-old phenom Cooper Flagg. Cleveland ranks 21st in defensive efficiency, and their frontcourt had no answer for the Heat on Friday. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo scored 37 each with Mobley out. He is likely to sit again.
Flagg has gone over 24.5 points in six of his 11 games, including 43 against Indiana earlier this week. He played only 27 minutes on Thursday and will be chomping at the bit to get Dallas back in the win column. The teenager scored 27 in Cleveland last March. I'm counting on Flagg to put together a big night for the Mavs.
NBA Best Bet: Miami Heat +4.5 over Detroit Pistons (+104)
Odds available at bet365 at the time of publishing.
Don't look now, but Miami is finally at .500. It has been quite the opening month for the new-look Heat. After starting the season 0-4, they are looking for their fourth straight win and a bit of revenge on Saturday night. Including tonight, they will play their next four games at home.
Detroit needed two overtimes and a 52-point performance from Cade Cunningham to get past Washington on Thursday. Cunningham played 48 minutes in the win, and three of the four other starters played 41+. The Pistons are still without Jalen Duren and have struggled against opposing frontcourts, with Anthony Davis scoring 44 and 30 on them this week. It is the Heat who are at a scheduling disadvantage on the second night of a back-to-back. But Antetokounmpo played just 31 minutes last night, and he scored 36 in a loss to Detroit in October. I like Miami with the points at home.
Read our full Pistons vs Heat prediction
