NBA Best Bets Today: November 12 Picks & Predictions
We have just four NBA games on Thursday, and the first is a rematch. Pistons vs Wizards tips at 7:00 PM ET, three days after Detroit's 122-111 win at home. Mavericks vs Timberwolves follows at 8:00 PM ET on NBA TV, with 19-year-old phenom Cooper Flagg coming off a 43-point night.
My NBA game predictions are 17-10 this season. I have looked at all four games tonight and my three NBA best bets for Thursday are a road favorite, a total and a player prop. As always, we have you covered with NBA Picks for every game - but for now, let's get to my top selections.
NBA Best Bet: Detroit Pistons -9.5 over Washington Wizards (-120)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing
Detroit beat Washington 122-111 on Monday as a 9.5-point favorite, and that was with Anthony Davis scoring 44. Now the Wizards get the Pistons again on the second night of a back-to-back, their fifth game in seven days. Washington has lost five straight.
Through three weeks of the season, the Pistons have been at their best on the road. They are 4-1 away from home, and all four wins have come by 13 or more. Five of Detroit's seven wins overall have come by 11+. The Wizards have been underdogs of 9.5 points or more four times this season and have lost all four by double digits. Give me Detroit to cover again.
Get the best odds on our Pistons vs Wizards prediction with FanDuel Sportsbook, where new users can sign up now and receive $200 in bonus bets when they create an account and bet $5 for four days!
NBA Best Bet: Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Under 227.5 (-117)
Odds available at Novig at the time of publishing
These teams played four times last season with an average of 222.5 points and the under cashing in all four. Minnesota has the top-ranked defense in the league by efficiency, and Dallas ranks ninth. Eight of the Mavs' 11 games this season have stayed under the total.
Dallas' game on Monday is the reason for the high total. Cooper Flagg and Kyrie Irving combined for 78 points in a 125-122 win over Indiana, the first Mavs game in their last five to go over. The Wolves are shooting 47.4% from the field, fifth in the league, an unsustainable clip while still missing Anthony Edwards. I like the under.
Trade on our Mavericks vs Timberwolves pick for tonight with Novig, which is available in almost every US state and right now new users can sign up and receive $50 in Trade Credits when they make their first $10 deposit!
NBA Best Bet: Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) Over 17.5 points in Mavericks vs Timberwolves (-115)
Odds available at Underdog at time of publishing
Somebody other than LaMelo Ball has had to step up and take shots with Edwards out, and Ayo Dosunmu has been the answer. The 26-year-old Fighting Illini alum is averaging a career-high 18.1 points this season and 21.6 in the seven games since Ant went down. His last five: 27, 19, 21, 26 and 26. Only Jaden McDaniels has played more minutes for Minnesota.
Attacking guards have done well against Dallas. Darius Acuff Jr., Malik Monk and Zach LaVine each scored 23+ for Sacramento in a win over the Mavs last week. Dylan Harper and Darryn Peterson followed with 21 apiece in the next two games. Dosunmu has shot 50% or better from the field in six of his last seven games. A spread of 5.5 should keep him on the floor into the fourth quarter.
