Adam Ronis' NBA player prop picks for Friday, February 11
There are 7 games in the NBA on Friday night. Only 1 game has a line of 4 points or less and 2 games have double-digit spreads. Three games have a total of at least 223 points. As always, stay up to date on the latest injury news since lines can change. Bets may be added throughout the day if additional spots that arise, so be sure to check back later in the day. My record is 54-41-1 for the season. Here are my picks for tonight.
Jarrett Allen over 27.5 points+rebounds (-110 on BetMGM)
Allen has gone over this total in 3 consecutive games, 2 without Darius Garland and he’s sitting tonight due to back soreness. Allen has 29 points and 22 rebounds, 15 points and 17 rebounds and 15 points and 14 rebounds in those games. After taking double-digits shots from the field in only 2 of 8 games, Allen has taken 20, 12 and 11 in the last 3. He gets a great matchup against the Pacers, who are thin inside without Myles Turner and the trade of Domantas Sabonis. Allen had 15 points and 17 rebounds against the Pacers on Sunday without Garland. The Pacers have allowed at least 116 points in 5 of the last 6 games. The Pacers are 25th in points allowed in the paint per game and 5th worst over the last 3 games.
Jayson Tatum under 28.5 points (-118 on FanDuel)
Jayson Tatum is averaging 25.5 points per game, but he has not been scoring a lot recently. Tatum has gone under this total in 6 of his last 7 games. He hasn’t even scored 20 points in 3 of his last 4 games. He is averaging 19.3 points and shooting 42.4% from the field in the last 4 games. Boston and Denver are joint-21st in pace. Denver allows 107.6 points per game, which is 11th-best in the NBA, Tatum hasn’t scored 28 points at home since December 13 and the Celtics are at home tonight.