Best MLB player prop bets today 7/15: Plesac runs through the Tigers

Cleveland Guardians starting pitcher Zach Plesac (34) pitches against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium.
Photo of JutPicks



Show Bio

NBA and MLB props specialist for Pickswise. For JutPicks media enquiries, please email

Pickswise was nice enough to give me the opportunity to write up my plays for you all. For those of you who don’t know me, they refer to me as JutPicks on Twitter. I post all my plays with brief writeups every day. Now I get to write even more with no character limit!

I pride myself on being as transparent as they come. My MLB record from last season and this season is listed in my bio. On the year, I’ve recorded 121 wins and 94 losses for a gain of +18.73 units. Without further ado, let’s dive into my favorite plays for Friday.

Kyle Gibson (PHI) over 16.5 outs (-130)

Line available at BetMGM Sportsbook at time of publishing.

The Miami Marlins have been a top team I’ve targeted as of late. Jazz Chisholm and Jorge Soler continue to be sidelined with injuries and will be out for this one. Their opponent tonight will be their division rival the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies could really use a nice outing from Gibson after a peculiar series in Toronto where in game 1 they used bullpen arms to get them through and only a 4 inning showing from ace Zack Wheeler in game 2.

Kyle Gibson has had an up and down year in his 2nd season with the Phillies. The good thing for us is that he’s coming off his best start of the season against the St. Louis Cardinals. He pitched 7 scoreless innings in a 1-0 win.

The Marlins batting average is down to .226 in the last month and at a bottom 4 rate on-base percentage against right-handed pitching.

Over their last 10 games, right-handed starters have cleared this out prop in 8 of them. This is a great spot for Gibson to clear this total just like he did against the Marlins in June where he pitched 8 innings.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins 

Arizona Diamondbacks under 1.5 runs First 5 innings (-125)

Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Yu Darvish at home is a different animal. In 8 starts at Petco Park, Darvish has held his opponents to under 2 runs in the 1st 5 innings in 7 of them. Darvish and the San Diego Padres will face the Arizona Diamondbacks who are in last place in the NL West.

This is a top-of-the-line matchup for Darvish. The Diamondbacks average the 6th fewest runs in the 1st 5 innings in all of baseball. Against right-handed pitching, the Diamondbacks are hitting at the 8th-worst rate in the last month and an on-base percentage that ranks in the bottom 10.

I see no signs of Darvish slowing down at home against an opponent like the Diamondbacks.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres 

Zach Plesac (CLE) under 2.5 earned runs (-120)

Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Zach Plesac is a familiar pitcher that we target. Actually, the last time we backed Plesac was against this same Detroit Tigers squad. Plesac pitched 6 innings and allowed 2 runs, both coming in the 1st inning.

I have no problem going right back to this prop. He has phenomenal numbers in his career against the Tigers. Since last season, he’s faced the Tigers 5 times, and in those 5 starts he’s under this line in 4 of them.

Even with rookie sensation Riley Greene, the Tigers are still struggling against right-handed pitching. They’ve stayed under this line against right-handed starters in 5 straight games and are just getting dominated. We’ve seen their strikeout rate and batting average dip to the bottom 10 of the league against right-handed pitching in the month of July.

Plesac is under this line in 10 of 16 starts this season and I expect another quality outing from the 27-year-old.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians

Pickswise is the home of free MLB Picks. Check out the latest MLB Prop Bets and MLB Parlays as well as our MLB Best Bets from the experts.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook
Bet $5+ on Lions vs. Packers and Receive $200 in Bonus Bets!

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account

Bet $5 on any sporting event

Receive $200 in Bonus Bets

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+
Bet $1 and Get $365 in Bonus Bets!

Register for a new bet365 account

Place qualifying bets of $1 or more

Get $365 in bonus bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in OH, CO, NJ, VA, IA. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer.
Bet $5 on Lions vs. Packers, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly + Up to $150 in No Sweat Bets!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any sports market and get $200 in bonus bets instantly

Plus up to $150 back in bonus bets if your team loses!

Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as bonus bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at
Caesars Sportsbook
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars for Lions vs. Packers!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

Place your first wager of $50 or more and get $50 bonus bet upon settlement of your first wager

You will receive an additional $50 bonus bet each subsequent Monday

21+. New users and first wager only. Must register with eligible promo code. Bet amount of qualifying wager returned only if wager is settled as a loss. Min. bet $50; must be used within 14 days of receipt. See for full terms. Void where prohibited. Know When To Stop Before You Start.® Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Get $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets if you Don't Win Your First Bet on Lions vs. Packers!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,500!

Get refunded up to $1,500 in bonus bets if you don't win

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER CO, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, MA 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in DC, Nevada, New York or Ontario
Bet $50, Get $111 in Fred Bets + Up To $1,000 Back!

Sign up for a new account with Betfred Sports and make your first deposit

Place a $50 wager on any sport

Get $111 in Fred Bets + Up To $1,000 Back in Losses over 5 Week!

Must be 21+. T&Cs apply. Wagers only accepted in CO, AZ, IA, OH, VA, MD. Full terms available from Betfred Sports.
Get Up To $1,000 in Second Chance Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

If any of your first 10 cash bets lose (first bet per day for 10 days)

You will receive Bonus Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $100 each.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer.
Get up to $500 Back in Bonus Bets if your First Bet Doesn't Win

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code SPORTS

Make your first deposit & and bet up to $500

If your first bet loses, get up to $500 back in bonus bets

Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF
Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus

Create a new DraftKings Sportsbook account and make your first deposit (min $5)

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.
Underdog Fantasy
First deposit is 100% matched up to $500 with Underdog Fantasy!

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $500) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply
By signing up you agree to our terms and privacy policy