Best NBA player props for Monday's slate: Adams set for battle in the paint

Memphis Grizzlies center Steven Adams
Photo of Germantas Kneita

Germantas Kneita

NBA· 3 weeks ago

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As most Lithuanians, I started watching basketball from the age of six. Im based out in London and played basketball at the University of Lincoln here in the UK. I had always had an interest in the NBA but things really took off in the summer of 2010. That year Linas Kleiza led Lithuania to 3rd place at the World Championships and signed with the Toronto Raptors to replace the departing Chris Bosh. I've been a Raptors fan from that day and I've not missed a game since. I love nothing more than a bet and tend to focus on NBA and soccer matches.

Luckily there are no NBA postponements tonight and we will get to see the full 7-game slate that we have been promised. Amongst the teams in action, we have the Eastern Conference-leading Brooklyn Nets, who will be hoping for a happy ending to their Los Angeles visit. Elsewhere, the Phoenix Suns will look to bounce back against the Grizzlies and keep pressure on the Golden State Warriors atop of the West.

You can check out our full game previews here as always. But now let’s take a look at my favorite player prop selections.

Steven Adams over 8.5 rebounds (-110)

Steven Adams has put together a strong rebounding month in December, currently averaging 10.4 rebounds per game over that stretch. He has been able to record 9 or more rebounds in 10 of the 13 games he has played this month, including in 5 of the last 6. The only game in that stretch that he was unable to do this in was against the Golden State Warriors, who tend to play small. Because Adams is not someone who is a major threat offensively, he is unlikely to see major playing time against such teams. That should not be an issue against the Phoenix Suns.

Deandre Ayton has been in fine form for the Suns, making under 50% from the field on just 1 occasion in December. Over the month he is averaging 31.2 minutes per night, and with the threat that he causes the Grizzlies, Adams may need to be out there with him for every one of those minutes. Ayton is certainly not the type of player to pull Adams away from the paint. He has made just 1 of 7 3-pointers this season, meaning these bigs will battle on the inside tonight. With Adams asked to venture to the perimeter less, look for him to spend plenty of time in the paint, battling for missed shots, keeping his good rebounding streak going.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns

Terry Rozier over 2.5 made threes (-130)

Terry Rozier was one of the players to be affected by COVID for the Charlotte Hornets, with the guard struggling for form since coming back. However, in the last 2 games he has seen somewhat of a resurgence with totals of 20 and 17 points respectively. He made 4 of the 10 3-point attempts he took in each of those games and he could be set to maintain that level of aggression tonight.

He will take on a Houston Rockets team that has really struggled to defend the perimeter of late. On the season they are allowing opponents to make 13.2 3-pointers per game, with the number rising to 14 over their last 10 games. That puts them 26th in the league in both opponent makes and shooting percentage from beyond the arc over that stretch. Rozier is also likely to be matched up against Eric Gordon, who is not a great individual defender and does not have great length to effect shots. As a result, I expect Rozier to continue his good shooting form here tonight.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets

Nicola Vucevic under 3.5 assists (+108)

Whilst Nikola Vucevic is one of the better passing big men in the league, he has not been picking up many assists of late. In the month of December, Vucevic has only been able to record 4 or more assists in 1 of the 8 games he has appeared in. In the month, he is only averaging 2.3 assists per night. As a result, this line appears to have great value tonight.

The Hawks have not been in great form recently, suffering double-digit losses at the hands of the Knicks and the Nuggets in their last 4 games. On top of that, they have a loss to the Magic over that stretch as well and with Trae Young out, it could be a blowout tonight against the Bulls. If that is the case, Vucevic could see fewer minutes which would work in favor of this selection.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks

Pickswise is the home of free NBA picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our NBA parlays and NBA prop bets tabs for more expert picks. 

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